Raiders' Mendoza and Jets' Bailey Show Different Trajectories in 2026 Rookie Class
Eight weeks into the season, early evaluations of the first-round draft class have shifted as some players exceed expectations while others remain behind schedule.
By Matthew Qureshi ·
The 2026 NFL rookie class is showing clear divisions after eight weeks of play. Early assessments made in late September have changed for several first-round picks, with some players outperforming their draft projections and others struggling to adjust to professional competition.
Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza, selected in the first round, has yet to start a game. He entered the field in Week 5 for mop-up duty against the Patriots. In that limited action, Mendoza completed 6 of 8 passes for 48 yards. Veteran Kirk Cousins remains the starting quarterback. As the team accumulates losses, Mendoza is expected to assume the starting role eventually.
Jets edge rusher David Bailey has shown notable improvement since his selection second overall. After an uneven start, Bailey recorded a three-sack performance against Cleveland. His development has been particularly evident in run defense. Jets coaches have praised his discipline and ability to handle responsibilities beyond rushing the passer. Bailey is displaying the explosive first step and speed-to-power traits that were evident during his time at Texas Tech.
Other first-round picks have had mixed results. Arvell Reese and Sonny Styles emerged as early standouts in the first month of the season. Rueben Bain Jr. has dealt with injury issues. Dillon Thieneman has performed well, appearing as one of the league's most promising young safeties.
Evaluations for the full class of 32 first-round picks account for production, injury history, and expectations. The review also compares current performance against original scouting reports from the 2026 draft cycle. This process identifies which college traits have translated to the NFL and which concerns have persisted.
The grading process extends beyond the first round. Ten rookies from the second and third rounds have also been evaluated. These players have made an impact during the first half of the season, demonstrating that talent is not limited to the top 32 selections.
More Sports · National news · Report a business · Got a Story?
